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Aussie Dollar Falls Hard On Trade Data

The Aussie Dollar fell hard last night breaking the key support area of .7600 versus the US Dollar and closing the NY session down almost 1.5% for the day.

After consolidating for several weeks above .7650, the AUD/USD finally broke down. Although recent economic reports have been fairly good, yesterday’s weaker trade balance figures were a sharp reminder of the damage a stronger currency can do to an export dependent economy.

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Analysts were looking for the January trade surplus to increase to 3.8 billion, but instead it shrank to 1.3 billion; less than a third of the expected level. The main draw on the trade balance were exports, which fell over 3% for the month.

The RBA has been clear that a stronger AUD will act as an economic headwind as Australia moves away from a mining-based economy.

Over the last 18 months, the AUD/USD has traded in a broad range between .7000 and .7750. Technically, last week’s high of .7740 could stand as a medium-term top as US Dollar strength pushes the AUD toward the bottom end of the range.

Investors looking to benefit from a move lower in the AUD/USD can consider the BetaShares AUD-based Exchange Traded Funds.

BetaShares offers two ASX-listed ETFs which increase in value as the AUD trades lower against the USD.

These two ETFs are called: USD, which is unweighted, and YANK, which has an approximate weighting of 2.5 to 1.

Contact us for more information about these AUD-based ETFs.

Chart – YANK

 

 

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