Gold Road – Support Price

Gold Road Resources is under Algo Engine buy conditions and we expect buying interest to rebuild near the $1.50 support level.

A combination of lower gold prices in the spot market and the recently announced interruption to production has seen the GOR share price fall from the $2.00 highs reached in July.

Gold Road Resources Limited (Gold Road) reports an interruption to its September 2020 quarter production for the Gruyere Gold Mine (Gruyere) following a ball mill motor bearing failure. Gruyere is a 50:50 joint venture with Gruyere Mining Company Pty Ltd, a member of the Gold Fields Limited group (Gold Fields), who manage Gruyere.

The ball mill motor bearing failure occurred on a restart of the Gruyere processing facility after a scheduled maintenance shutdown. Upon detection of the failure, a specialist team was mobilised to site. Following a thorough inspection, the root cause of the failure has been determined,
rectification measures have been taken and the available spare has been installed. As a result of the extended shutdown, production at Gruyere was impacted for 7 days after the planned shutdown, with normal processing operations resuming Thursday afternoon on 24 September.

All in Sustaining Costs (AISC) for Gold Road’s attributable share of production was expected to peak in the September 2020 quarter, with lower gold production as the operation transitioned to fresh rock processing, with the quarter’s costs impacted by reduced gold production. Configuration of
the milling circuit for fresh rock processing required some additional plant downtime early in the quarter to maintain throughput rates.

Due to the ball mill motor bearing failure and additional plant downtime early in the quarter, Gold Road anticipates gold produced for the September 2020 quarter to be 53,000 to 57,000 ounces (100% basis). AISC for the September 2020 quarter are anticipated to be in the range of A$1,540 –
A$1,590 per ounce.

As a result of this quarter’s production disruptions, full year production guidance for 2020 (100% basis) is anticipated at 250,000 to 270,000 ounces (previously 250,000 to 285,000 ounces) and Gold Road’s attributable annual AISC guidance is revised to between A$1,250 – A$1,350 (previously A$1,150 to A$1,250).

Gold Road Resources – Update

Gold Road Resources is under Algo Engine buy conditions and along with NCM is our preferred gold exposure.

The company provided financial statements for the 6 month period ending June 30, which displayed revenue $135mn, EBIT, $36mn and EPS of $0.026.

Key points include:

Gold Road repaid all debt whilst retaining the undrawn facility of A$100M (US$71M). Net cash and equivalents of A$84M (US$60M) at 30 June 2020.

71,865 ounces produced* at attributable AISC of A$1,233/oz (US$875/oz)2.

Quarterly free cash flow of A$23.8M (excl. unsold bullion
and dore).

GDX – Gold ETF

The below post is a copy of a publication on the 18th of October. Since making the post, gold stocks have performed well and we now look to trim the gains and rotate into oversold industrial & REIT names.

Vaneck Vectors Gold Miners  is under Algo Engine buy conditions following the entry condition earlier this year at $30. It is a current holding in our ALL ASX ETF model portfolio.

GDX ETF has corrected from $45 to $38 over the past 8 weeks. We feel buying support will now begin to increase.

Individual names are also now appearing on the radar, such as Newcrest Mining Northern Star Resources, Evolution Mining, OceanaGold and Gold Road Resources.