JP Morgan Q2 Earnings

JP Morgan posted a record $33.8 billion in second-quarter revenue and $4.69 billion in profit for the period.

The firm set aside $8.9 billion for expected loan defaults across its operations.

Jamie Dimon told analysts, If a relatively benign scenario emerges, JP Morgan will have too much capital saved and could resume stock buybacks as early as the fourth quarter. If a more severe recession happens, caused by a second wave of infections in the fall, the bank could be forced to cut its dividend.

Federal stimulus programs have supported individuals and small businesses in the second quarter, masking the true impact of the pandemic. It, therefore, seems reasonable to expect further deterioration in bad loan provisions.

A break below $90 in JPM will be seen as a loss of upside momentum.

Alexion – Buy Signal

NASDAQ listed Alexion Pharmaceuticals is now under Algo Engine buy conditions.

May 6, 2020-Alexion Pharmaceuticals announced first quarter 2020 revenues of 1.bn, (27% increase on the same time last year).

On a GAAP basis, diluted EPS in the quarter was $2.50, a 4 percent decrease versus the prior year.

Non-GAAP diluted EPS for the first quarter of 2020 was $3.22, a 35 percent increase versus the first quarter of 2019.

Alumina – ATO Dispute

Alumina has run into issues with the Australian Tax Office following a review of transfer pricing arrangements with the AWAC JV.

The claim relates to a 20 year period and the ATO is claiming an additional tax of $200M plus interest. Other penalties may also be due and will be further communicated to the JV next month.

We forecast FY21 EBIT to increase to $350m, supporting a forward yield of 6%.