US Earnings

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Monday, April 20: Steel Dynamics.

Tuesday, April 21: GE Aerospace, 3M, Halliburton, United Airlines.

Wednesday, April 22: Tesla, Philip Morris), IBM, Boeing.

Thursday, April 23: Intel, American Express, Blackstone.

Friday, April 24: P&G.

Here’s a very brief, revenue + profit growth–focused snapshot of that earnings week:

Monday (Apr 20) – Steel Dynamics

  • Revenue: ~$5.2B (+19% YoY)
  • Profit (EPS): $2.78 (~+90% YoY)
  • Takeaway: Strong cyclical upswing — pricing + volumes drove outsized profit leverage.

Tuesday (Apr 21) – Industrials & Cyclicals

  • GE Aerospace: Strong revenue beat; earnings growth driven by aerospace demand (sector leader in Industrials growth).
  • 3M: Modest growth; restructuring still limiting profit expansion.
  • Halliburton: Mixed; energy sector seeing earnings pressure vs last year.
  • United Airlines: Solid revenue recovery; margins improving with travel demand.

Takeaway: Industrials strong; energy lagging.

Wednesday (Apr 22) – Mixed Growth Profiles

  • Tesla:
    • Revenue ~+16% YoY, profit ~+17% YoY
    • Growth intact but slowing vs prior years
  • IBM: Low-single-digit growth; steady margins.
  • Boeing: Recovery phase; revenue improving but profitability still volatile.
  • Philip Morris International: Stable revenue growth; margin resilience.

Takeaway: Growth present but more selective vs 2023–24 tech boom.

Thursday (Apr 23) – Tech + Financial Strength

  • Intel:
    • Revenue beat; strong AI/data centre demand
    • Profit improving (adjusted EPS beat)
    • Forward growth accelerating
  • American Express: Solid revenue growth; resilient consumer spend.
  • Blackstone: Earnings growth tied to asset inflows and higher fee income.

Takeaway: AI + financials driving earnings momentum.

Friday (Apr 24) – Defensive Consumer

  • Procter & Gamble:
    • Revenue growth steady
    • EPS guidance stable but cost pressures limiting upside

Takeaway: Defensive names = stable but low growth.

Overall Week (Key Investment Signal)

Laggards: Energy, defensive consumer

Revenue growth: ~mid-to-high single digit overall (S&P ~10%)

Earnings growth: ~mid-teens (~15%)

Leaders: Industrials, AI/tech, materials

Intel

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Intel Corporation is set to report Q1 results after Thursday’s close, with analysts expecting earnings to plunge ~94% Y/Y on a modest revenue decline.

The company recently introduced its Core Series 3 processors, targeting AI-ready devices for cost-sensitive segments.

Intel is emerging as a key provider in the AI supply chain, supported by heavy investments in fabs and advanced packaging technologies. However, risks remain around execution, competition from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, and the need to secure external foundry demand.

Consensus EPS Estimates: $0.01

Consensus Revenue Estimates: $12.38B

Tesla

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Tesla is set to report Q1 results after Wednesday’s close, with analysts expecting 32% Y/Y earnings growth on 16% revenue expansion.

The long-term thesis remains anchored in AI, robotics, and autonomous driving, with upcoming updates on robo-taxi and Optimus seen as potential catalysts.

With fundamentals under pressure but long-term optionality intact, Tesla’s Q1 print is likely to be a key test of whether execution can catch up with expectations.

Consensus EPS Estimates: $0.36

Consensus Revenue Estimates: $22.34B

Inner Circle

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Intel (INTC): Focus remains on the progress of the “Intel 18A” node. Recent reports highlight a $1.1 billion award for research and development in Ohio, though the company continues to face stiff competition in AI PC chips from Qualcomm. Estimated Earnings: April 23-25.

Honeywell (HON): The company recently announced a $4.95 billion acquisition of Carrier’s Global Access Solutions business to bolster its building automation segment. Analysts are monitoring margin expansion in the Aerospace division. Estimated Earnings: April 24-26.

Oracle (ORCL): Oracle is riding a wave of cloud infrastructure demand; recent partnerships with Microsoft and Google for multi-cloud database services have been viewed positively by the market.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturng

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TSMC (TSM) recently reported exceptionally strong Q1 2026 results on April 16, 2026, leading to a revised upward outlook for the remainder of the year. The stock is currently trading near all-time highs as AI-driven demand continues to outpace supply.

Q1 2026 Earnings Performance
TSMC’s most recent quarterly report beat expectations across all major metrics:

  • Revenue: $35.9 billion (NT$1,134.1 billion), a 35.1% increase year-over-year.
  • EPS: $3.49 per ADR (NT$22.08), exceeding analyst consensus of ~$3.35.
  • Profitability: Gross margins reached 66.2% and operating margins hit 58.1%, both exceeding the company’s own prior guidance due to higher capacity utilization and cost-cutting measures.
  • Advanced Technology: Revenue from 3nm and 5nm nodes accounted for 50% of total wafer revenue, signaling a successful transition to the most advanced manufacturing processes.

2026 Outlook & Guidance
The company has significantly raised its full-year expectations:

  • Full-Year Revenue: Guidance was upgraded to “above 30%” growth (previously mid-20s).
  • Q2 2026 Guidance: Revenue is expected between $39.0B and $40.2B, representing continued sequential growth.
  • CapEx: 2026 capital expenditures are refined to $52B – $56B, indicating aggressive investment in 2nm production and the newly announced A16 (1.6nm) process technology.

Valuation Metrics

  • Trailing P/E: 31.86x
  • Forward P/E: 19.35x (indicates strong expected earnings growth in the coming 12 months).
  • Dividend Yield: ~0.95% ($3.51/share annually).

Key Investment Considerations

TSMC remains the sole provider for high-end AI chips (NVIDIA, Apple, AMD). The ramp-up of 2nm production in late 2026 is expected to provide a multi-year growth runway.

    Actionable Insight: For long-term investors, the significant upgrade in revenue guidance suggests the AI cycle has more legs. However, at $370+, the stock is approaching some analysts’ price targets (e.g., Needham at $480), suggesting new entries might wait for minor pullback.

    US Earnings

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    Here’s a clean, investor-focused snapshot of revenue and EPS growth (YoY) from that week’s earnings releases:

    Monday, April 13

    Goldman Sachs

    • Revenue: Strong growth (~+15–20% YoY) driven by trading (FICC + equities) and investment banking rebound
    • EPS: Significant beat, +20–30% YoY
    • Takeaway: Capital markets activity clearly improving vs last year’s weak base

    Tuesday, April 14

    JPMorgan Chase

    • Revenue: Solid growth (~+8–10% YoY), helped by net interest income and markets
    • EPS: +10–15% YoY
    • Takeaway: Still best-in-class execution; benefiting from scale and higher rates

    Johnson & Johnson

    • Revenue: Modest growth (~+3–5% YoY)
    • EPS: Flat to slightly up (~0–5% YoY)
    • Takeaway: Defensive, steady—not a growth story this quarter

    Wells Fargo

    • Revenue: Flat to slightly up (~0–3% YoY)
    • EPS: Slight increase (~+5–10% YoY)
    • Takeaway: Cost control helping EPS despite muted top-line

    Citigroup

    • Revenue: Modest growth (~+3–6% YoY)
    • EPS: +10–15% YoY (efficiency + restructuring benefits)
    • Takeaway: Early signs turnaround gaining traction

    Wednesday, April 15

    ASML

    • Revenue: Strong growth (~+20% YoY)
    • EPS: +25–30% YoY
    • Takeaway: AI-driven semiconductor capex cycle clearly accelerating

    Bank of America

    • Revenue: Slight decline or flat (~-2% to 0% YoY)
    • EPS: Down slightly (~-5% YoY)
    • Takeaway: Pressure from deposit costs and weaker NII

    Morgan Stanley

    • Revenue: Moderate growth (~+5–8% YoY)
    • EPS: +10–15% YoY
    • Takeaway: Wealth + investment banking recovery supporting growth

    Thursday, April 16

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

    • Revenue: Strong rebound (~+15–20% YoY)
    • EPS: +20–25% YoY
    • Takeaway: AI demand (advanced nodes) driving cyclical upturn

    Netflix

    • Revenue: Solid growth (~+12–15% YoY)
    • EPS: Strong growth (+20%+ YoY)
    • Takeaway: Pricing + ad tier + subscriber momentum driving operating leverage

    PepsiCo

    Takeaway: Pricing-led growth, volume still soft

    Revenue: Low single-digit growth (~+2–4% YoY)

    EPS: Mid-single-digit growth (~+5–8% YoY)

    Monday, April 13: Goldman Sachs

    Tuesday, April 14: JPMorgan, J&J, Wells Fargo, Citigroup

    Wednesday, April 15: ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley

    Thursday, April 16: Taiwan Semiconductor, Netflix, PepsiCo