Inghams

Inghams Group shares rose 6.2% to $1.80 following a trading update that reassured investors about the company’s full-year outlook despite significant external headwinds.

Although Inghams has struggled over the past 12 months (with the share price down over 50% in that period), the market reacted positively to signs of “stabilising” trading conditions and the company’s ability to maintain its earnings forecast despite the spike in diesel and logistics costs.

FY26 Guidance & Financials

  • EBITDA Reaffirmed: Inghams maintained its FY26 underlying EBITDA (pre-AASB 16) guidance of $180 million to $200 million.
  • Previous Cut: This guidance had been revised downward in February 2026 (from a previous $215M–$230M range), so the reaffirmation provided the market with much-needed stability.
  • Operational Momentum: For the first nine months of FY26, group poultry volumes rose 1.1%, and net selling prices also increased by 1.1% compared to the prior corresponding period (PCP).

Strategic & Defensive Measures
To protect its margins against fuel and packaging inflation, Inghams is executing several key initiatives:

  • Cost-Cutting Program: Targeting $60 million to $80 million in annualised savings.
  • Inventory Management: Reduced frozen inventory by $25 million, improving cash flow and system balance.
  • Capital Expenditure: Revised FY26 CapEx guidance to approximately $80 million.

Inghams

Inghams Group FY25 after-tax profits fell 10% and the business is focusing on cost cuts following the loss of Woolworths volume.

Outlook: FY26 Underlying EBITDA (pre AASB 16) expected between $215.0M and $230.0M. Earnings profile expected to be significantly weighted to 2H26, reflecting lower FY25 exit run rate and timing of benefits from operational reset.

We rate Inghams as a buy and see value at the current price level.

CHALLENGING SECOND HALF CONDITIONS
FY25 Results Presentation | 22 August 2025
Australia (AU) – Challenging demand environment with operational disruptions
▪Replaced majority of lost Woolworths volume, albeit with shift to a lower-margin mix reflected in 2H25 run-rate
▪Retail and out-of-home demand subdued, with cost-of-living pressures dampening Retail category volumes during 4Q25
▪Significant Wholesale pricing pressure reduced FY25 margins
▪Net 2H25 impact: Softer demand and margin pressure from Wholesale/new business pricing and mix; lower Retail and higher Wholesale volumes in 2H25, partly offset by operational efficiencies