US Market – Leading Indicators

We’ve been watching the rollover pattern in GE and the recent break of price support in Goldman Sachs as potential leading indicators. We now add UPS and FedEx as two additional stocks of interest.

FedEx Corporation is expected to report earnings in March. The report will be for the fiscal quarter ending Feb 2017. The consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $2.62 whereas, EPS for the same quarter last year was $2.51.

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United Parcel Services, (UPS), reported quarterly earnings and revenue that missed Wall Street’s expectations. Fourth-quarter earnings of $1.63 per share on revenue $16.93 billion and weak 2017 guidance, ($5.80 to $6.10 per share), has resulted in heavy sell-side pressure in the stock.

A point of note: In 2016, UPS re-purchased 25.5 million shares for about $2.7 billion.

The graphs below show a concerning trend of downside risk.

Chart – FedEx

Chart – UPS

 

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