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Inghams Group FY25 after-tax profits fell 10% and the business is focusing on cost cuts following the loss of Woolworths volume.
Outlook: FY26 Underlying EBITDA (pre AASB 16) expected between $215.0M and $230.0M. Earnings profile expected to be significantly weighted to 2H26, reflecting lower FY25 exit run rate and timing of benefits from operational reset.
We rate Inghams as a buy and see value at the current price level.
CHALLENGING SECOND HALF CONDITIONS
FY25 Results Presentation | 22 August 2025
Australia (AU) – Challenging demand environment with operational disruptions
▪Replaced majority of lost Woolworths volume, albeit with shift to a lower-margin mix reflected in 2H25 run-rate
▪Retail and out-of-home demand subdued, with cost-of-living pressures dampening Retail category volumes during 4Q25
▪Significant Wholesale pricing pressure reduced FY25 margins
▪Net 2H25 impact: Softer demand and margin pressure from Wholesale/new business pricing and mix; lower Retail and higher Wholesale volumes in 2H25, partly offset by operational efficiencies
XJO is now below the 10-day average and traders should consider the inverse ETFs such as BEAR & BBOZ. Apply a stop loss on a reversal above 8900 points.
Xero: Add to your watchlist and wait for the price action to cross above the 10-day average.
Woolworths Group is at a price level where long-term investors should consider the buy-side.
In case you missed it, you can watch last night’s webinar here.
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2 Chifley Square
Sydney, NSW 2000
1300 614 002
Investor Signals Pty Ltd
ABN 44 143 555 453
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