US Stock Market

The graph of the S&P500 shows faltering short-term momentum with overhead resistance at 4590 in the S&P500 index.

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Traders will be monitoring next week’s price action based on the above pattern.

19/2 update: The S&P500 remains below the 10-day average.

IAG: 1H22 Earnings

Insurance Australia Group is under Algo Engine sell conditions.

1H22 cash NPAT of A$173m. Outer year growth could be material for IAG and we’ll be watching for a return to algo buy conditions later this year.

Risks to our IAG valuation and target price revolve around the pricing and claims
environment for insurers in Australia and New Zealand, including catastrophe
events.

Aurizon Holdings: 1H22 Earnings

Aurizon Holdings is under Algo Engine buy conditions. 1H22 underlying EBITDA was down 1.5% to $727m and underlying NPAT was $257m.

We expect Bulk to continue being strong, with record crop production across Australia and new
contracts, although a soft volume outlook for Coal leaves low single-digit earnings growth at best for FY22.

The dividend was $0.105 with a payout of 75%. The forward div yield is now 5.7% and EPS growth likely to be flat to +2%. OneRail transaction is progressing with key ACCC assessment due in
March.