Medibank – Rising Political Risk

Medibank has been under selling pressure on fears of rising political risk.  The Labour Party appears likely to campaign into the next Federal Election with a promise to limit annual premium rate increases to 2% for two years. This is well below the 4-6% historical trend.

Despite the concern highlighted above, we view Medibank as a buying opportunity, as it approaches an oversold level.

A rally back to $3.00 should provide an opportunity to set covered call options and generate additional premium income to complement the 6.5 cent  September dividend.

Medibank Private

 

Star Entertainment – Growth Outlook

Star has entered into a private placement with its JV partners, Chow Tai Fook  and Far East Consortium to raise $490m at $5.35. The alliance agreement has been entered to build an additional 5 JV towers at the Gold Coast and one in Sydney.

The SGR board has revised the dividend pay-out ratio to a minimum of 70% of normalised EPS. The announcement was also accompanied by a trading update – Normalised group revenue for the March 18 quarter was up 19%.

FY19 revenue of $3 billon, EBIT $440m, EPS $0.33 and DPS $0.20 places SGR on a forward dividend yield of 3.7%.

Star

ETF Watch – World Ex Australia

Our Algo Engine generated a buy signal yesterday in the SPDR S&P World ex Australia ETF.

The signal was triggered at $21.63 as the stock retraced back to form a “higher low” formation. $20.50 is also a relevant price target from the high back in 2015. Investors wanting to add global portfolio exposure through one simple transaction may consider this ETF.

3 year average annual return is running at around 9%.

If investors wanted to play a US dollar recovery, they may opt for the un- hedged WXOZ ETF.