Origin Energy June Quarter Production

ORG.ASX released the June quarter production numbers that were slightly better than market expectations.

This supports our gradual recovery outlook for ORG and we see FY 17 revenue of $12b producing an  EBIT of $1.1b on reported profit in the range of $700m.

Dividend is likely to remain unchanged at $0.20 which puts the stock on a 3.5% forward yield.

 

 

Resmed Hits Our Profit Target

RMD.ASX traded at our $9.00 profit target today. The stock has put on 20% since our buy trigger. Patience has paid off here and waiting for  todays earnings result has proven to be the right approach.

ResMed’s annual profit for the year to June 30 was $US352m on annual revenue of $US1.8b, up from $US1.7b. Revenue for the fourth quarter lifted 15 per cent to $US519m boosted by the acquisition in healthcare software group Brightree. Quarterly dividend raised to 33 US cents per share.

Our algorithm engines will continue to track RMD.ASX for future buying opportunities and I’ll be sure to keep you informed.

RMD

Enjoy the proceeds of this quick profit!

AGL Buy Write 14% cash flow

AGL.ASX is in our buy write basket. Buy at $20.00 and sell the $20.50 Nov call options for $0.60 and collect the $0.35 August dividend. $0.95 cash flow for 4 months or $2.85 annualised = 14% annualised cash low return.

Analysts are a little too bullish on the outlook for AGL but I think downside risks are minimal and we should see EPS grow by 5% and DPS of $0.70 in FY17 and $0.73 in FY18. NPAT FY17 of 905m and growing to FY18 of $950m.

This allocation is for income seekers and not traders.

 

 

Long QUB.ASX (update)

QUB

Qube Holding Ltd (QUB.ASX) is starting to trend higher as expected. The premise of this trade is the market will begin to re-rate QUB following the finalisation of the asset purchases from Asciano. Traders may look to take take profit around the $2.50 level.

Keep this one on your radar as the 2 to 3 year outlook should see this stock present multiple buying opportunities. Our algorithm engines will continue tracking for optimum entry and exit levels.

Short BEN.ASX (update)

Short BEN.ASX (update)

Following the short recommendation on the 1st of June and our $9.10 target, it’s worth highlighting that Bendigo Bank hit our target (traded down to $8.91) two weeks later and a profit of over 10% in less than 10 trading days. Bendigo has now bounced and traded back up towards a sell price that puts the short trade back on our radar again, however, until the broader market indices rollover, we’re not focused on new short positions just yet.

Stay tuned.