Bank of America – Algo Buy

Bank of America provided a bullish outlook after reporting a smaller-than expected 13% fall in first-quarter profit, as growth in consumer lending overshadowed a decline in global dealmaking.

The World Bank is reducing its global growth forecast for 2022 by nearly a full percentage point, to 3.2% from 4.1%, due to the impacts from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, World Bank President David Malpass said.

US Earnings

Bank of America reports quarterly results Monday before the bell.

Dow blue-chip names report earnings this week, including IBM, Procter and Gamble, Travelers, Dow Inc, Johnson and Johnson, American Express and Verizon.

Netflix earnings are due on Tuesday and Tesla out on Wednesday. Snap reports Thursday.

JP Morgan – 1Q22 Earnings

JPMorgan Chase’s Chief Executive Jamie Dimon warned of economic uncertainties arising from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and soaring inflation after first-quarter profits at the largest U.S. bank slumped 42%.  

Consumer Banking

Net income of $2.9B vs. $6.8B in 1Q21 & revenue of $12.2B, down 2% YoY

Corporate & Investment Banking

Net income of $4.4B, down 26% YoY & revenue of $13.5B, down 7%
YoY

Commercial Banking

Net income of $850mm, down 28% YoY & revenue of $2.4B was flat compared to the prior year.

JP Morgan – 1Q22 Earnings

JPMorgan Chase’s Chief Executive Jamie Dimon warned of economic uncertainties arising from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and soaring inflation after first-quarter profits at the largest U.S. bank slumped 42%.  

Consumer Banking

Net income of $2.9B vs. $6.8B in 1Q21 & revenue of $12.2B, down 2% YoY

Corporate & Investment Banking

Net income of $4.4B, down 26% YoY & revenue of $13.5B, down 7%
YoY

Commercial Banking

Net income of $850mm, down 28% YoY & revenue of $2.4B was flat compared to the prior year.

US Banks – What’s in the Price?

The macro-economic picture is deteriorating fast and could push the U.S. economy into recession as the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy to tame surging inflation, Bank of America strategists warned in a weekly research note.

Investors need to ask, what’s in the price? As you can see from the chart below, JPM has corrected over the last 6 months from $175 to $130.

JPMorgan Chase & Co, the largest U.S. bank, is expected to report first-quarter earnings on Wednesday.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc is scheduled to report first-quarter results on Thursday.

BlackRock Inc is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings on Wednesday 

Citigroup Inc reports first-quarter results on Thursday

Wells Fargo & Co reports first-quarter earnings Thursday

Morgan Stanley is scheduled to report first-quarter results on Thursday

NASDAQ – Valuation Review

NASDAQ’s PE ratio is now 27X forward earnings with 2022 earnings growth rate forecast at 12.3%. The recent rally is a significant extension given the move higher in interest rates.

The graph below looks at the valuation of the S&P relative to US GDP.

9/4 update: The downside momentum continues in the NASDAQ.