A2 Milk – Valuation Review

The A2 Milk Company is now under Algo Engine buy conditions and has recently been added to our ASX 100 model portfolio.

A2M reported 2HFY20 earnings showing strong EPS growth underpinned by higher infant formula volumes.

The result fell slightly short of high expectations, although revenue growth remained strong, increasing by 30% on the same time last year and FY20 EBIT jumped from $410mn to $550mn.

FY21 consensus for EPS growth is 15%.

At 30x forward earnings and no dividend yield, A2M is expensive but the growth metrics remain attractive.

Brambles – Add Call Option

Brambles remains under Algo Engine buy conditions.

FY20 earnings were in-line with market consensus with EBIT flat on the same time last year. On a constant currency basis, EBIT increased 4%, which was in-line with management guidance for 3 – 5% growth.

BXB generates a large percentage of its revenue from consumer
staples and grocery supply chains, making it a relatively safe harbor for investors. At 22X forward earnings and a 2.2% yield, there’s not much upside in the share price on a 12-month outlook.

We suggest investors add a covered call option to enhance the income return.

CSL – Rallies 15%

We’ve been highlighting the buy-side opportunity in CSL from the $270 support level. The share price has since rallied 15% and traders can now consider locking-in the gains.

Investors may wish to stick with the longer-term momentum and reassess following the FY20 earnings release today.