Buy Amcor & AGL

In an increasingly expensive market, finding low volatility investments at a discount can be difficult.

We consider the recent sell-off in AMC and AGL  represents a low risk entry level for a buy-write strategy.

AMC pays a 25.6 cent dividend on the 24th February and AGL pays  41 cents on the 23rd February.

We are then adding covered call options to enhance the yield and allowing for moderate capital growth.

The strategy is achieving 10 – 12% cash flow on an annualised basis.

 

 

 

 

US Stock Watch – General Electric (Deep Value)

In late November we highlighted GE as a counter trend buy.

We maintain that GE offers deep value for longer term investors and highlight the recent buying interest which is starting to build.

GE has now rallied over $1.00 or 7% from the November low.

GE shares sold off following the re-statement of accounts and recognition by investors of the cash flow issues, bloated expenses and under performing  business units.

The new CEO, John Flannery,  is now in place and announced a restructuring plan last month along with a 50% cut in dividend.

Like any large organisation, these changes take time to address and implement. However, 1 – 3 years out we’ll start to see a very different GE begin to emerge.

If you’d like to add GE to your portfolio or other international shares, please contact  leon@investorsignals.com

 

 

 

 

ETF Watch – Algo Signal on AUD & USD ETF’s

Our Algo Engine generated a buy signal in the AUD Betashares Australian Dollar ETF on the 11th December at $14.75. Since then, the ETF has rallied 10% in line with the Australian dollar bouncing from .7510 to .7870.

On the flip side, we’ve seen the USD Betashare ETF make lower lows and lower highs.

We feel that the  counter-trend which has played out during the past month will begin to normalise and we are likely to see a shift back towards USD strength.

 

 

Amcor – Generating 10 – 12% cashflow

We recommend investors look at Amcor with a view towards a buy-write strategy.

Owning the stock at $15.50 and selling slightly out-of-the-money calls into June 2018  generates 10 – 12% cash-flow, when combined with the February dividend of $0.25.

FY18 underlying EPS growth should be in the 5 – 7% range, placing AMC on a 4.3% forward yield.

Amcor

Algo Update – AGL Targets $26.00

Our ALGO Engine triggered a recent buy signal in AGL at $23.38.

With the stock now making a further “higher low” formation at $24.50, we highlight the current price as a reasonable entry level.

AGL is likely to upgrade their dividend payout in 2018 & 2019 which will see the stock re-rate and trade into the $26.00 range.

AGL is a suitable buy-write for income portfolios and is a current holding in our ASX 50 model.

 

AGL