Gold Finds Technical Support As Fundamental Risks Increase

After reaching a high of $1370.00 in mid-April, the price of gold dropped over $200.00 and traded as low as $1160.00 on August 16th.

By many technical measures, the 4-month correction in the yellow metal looks to have run its course.

Increased trade tensions, EM currency weakness and Geo-political risks are all fundamental elements which support higher prices for Gold.

The next point of resistance is near $1214.00, with solid support at $1185.00

Our preference within the gold miners is NCM, followed by EVN.

 

MPL Is Back In The Buy Zone

Since posting a high of $3.30 on August 20th, shares of MPL have dropped over 12% and posted a low of $2.87 in early trade today.

Internal momentum indicators are now reflecting and oversold condition on the daily charts.

We recommend accumulating MPL in the 2.75 – $2.90 range.

MediBank Private

 

Santos – Quadrant Acquisition Delivers Added Growth

Shares of STO have firmed over the last week as investors see the company’s recent acquisition of Quadrant Energy as a net positive to growth.

The addition of Quadrant will increase STO’s ownership of high-grade gas assets in Western Australia.

In addition, the Quadrant fields will strengthen STO’s operating capacity and increase last year’s rise in underlying profit into FY19.

We see initial chart resistance in the $7.35 area.

Santos

Buy BHP – Value At $30.00

Our Algo Engine generated a buy signal in BHP following the recent “higher low” chart formation.

We see value in the $30 – $31 range and suggest accumulating BHP with a view towards selling covered call options to enhance the overall investment return.

BHP

ALGO Update: Go Long Sanfire Resources

Our ALGO engine triggered a buy signal in Sandfire Resources last week at $6.75.

The “higher low” pattern is referenced to the intra-day low of $6.42 posted on December 15th last year.

SFR operates the DeGrussa Copper/Gold mine in WA and reported a 50% jump in net profit to $123 million for FY 2018.

As a low-cost producer, SFR traded as high as $10.00 in mid-June, but has slipped along with the price of Copper over the last two months.

With an announced 38 cent per year dividend, the current price of $6.70 reflects a forward yield of just under 5.7%.

As the technical picture improves for both Copper and Gold, we see an initial upside target of $8.80 for SFR over the medium-term.

Sandfire Resources

 

 

Crown – Back In The Buy Zone

We currently hold Crown Resorts in our ASX top 100 model portfolio, following a Algo Engine buy signal back in February at $12.50.

The stock has recently retraced from the $14.59 high made on the 10th August.

We now feel the sub-$13.50 level  provides an opportunity to accumulate Crown shares at a fair valuation.

NOTE: Star Entertainment is also back in the buy zone between $5.13 – $5.30

Crown