James Hardie

James Hardie Industries is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is a current holding in our ASX 100 model portfolio.

JHX will report FY20 earnings tomorrow and previous guidance of $350m to $355m was provided on the 5th May.

The weak demand environment ahead for new residential construction will likely weigh on earnings. The fall in the share price from $33 to $21 allows for these headwinds and a discounted valuation argument builds for both JHX and BLD.

Note: James Hardie has suspended the payment of dividends.

Housing Construction – Sell Signal

Boral, James Hardie Industries and CSR have rallied from oversold levels, as buyers have been attracted to the reduced PE multiples. The question is whether non-residential and engineering construction will offset the fall in residential construction volumes.

Australian housing approvals have been trending down for the past 6 months  with Jan approvals of 172k, down 30% on the same time last year.

BLD, JHX and CSR are now under Algo Engine sell conditions and we remain cautious given the broader market index back drop.

We consider Boral as the best recovery opportunity, but expect short-term sell pressure to persist.

 

 

 

 

James Hardie – Reported 3QFY19 Earnings

James Hardie is a current holding within our ASX 100 model portfolio.

Today’s release of the 3QFY19 earnings were slightly below market consensus, however, the full year guidance for FY19 NPAT  to be in the range of US$280-320m, supports a higher share price.

Off the back of the improved full year earnings outlook, James Hardie has rallied from $15 to $16.

Based on FY20 earnings, we have JHX trading on a 4.2% yield.