Algo Update – Buy AGL

Our Algo Engine triggered a buy signal on the 23rd of August in AGL at $22.64.

Following this, AGL rallied to $26.50 before retracing back to the current higher low at $23.70.

AGL remains in our ASX50 model portfolio and a positive earnings result when the company updates the market on the 8th of February, should provide renewed buying support.

AGL pays a $0.41 dividend on the 23rd of February.

 

 

 

Ansell – 1H18 Earnings

Based on the positive macro data, cost savings, benefits from US tax changes and the transformation program Ansell announced, we see upside to Ansell’s upcoming earnings result on the 12th February.

ANN currently trades at 17x 2019 earnings and a forward dividend yield of 2.7%.

We’re buyers on near-term weakness ahead of the upcoming earnings result.

Ansell

 

 

Aristocrat Leisure – Buy on the Dip

ALL’s exposure to recurring revenue is increasing, although the business remains exposed to cyclical trends.

The market’s response to Aristocrat acquiring Big Fish has been mixed.

We see the the deal as 3 – 4% EPS accretive in 2019 and will help to underpin EPS growth of 20%, placing ALL on a 2019 dividend yield of 3.3% and a PE of 20x earnings.

ALL is among the best performing stocks in our ASX 50 model and we advise investors to look for near-term buying support  along with the next Algo buy signal.

Aristocrat

 

Suncorp – Earnings Outlook

SUN is due to release its 1H18 results on Thursday 15 February.

We are expecting NPAT of $510m, which is around 50% of the full year target of $1.05b

FY18 EPS growth should be around 5% and the dividend will remain flat at $0.73 placing Suncorp on a forward yield of 5.3%.

Our Algo Engine triggered a sell signal on the recent “lower high” formation and, therefore, we do not hold this name in our model.

 

 

Buy AGL & Sell Call Options

Our Algo Engine triggered a buy signal in AGL on the 22nd August at $22.64.

Considering the recent “higher low” formation at $24.00, we recommend investors add AGL to their portfolios.

AGL is a current holding in the ASX 50 model portfolio and we’ve added a covered call option to enhance the yield.

AGL pays a 41 cent in dividend on the 23rd of February.

AGL

Sydney Airport – Generating 10 – 12% cash flow

With bond yields likely to stabilise and strong passenger growth numbers, (across Australia’s east coast), we see SYD as a buying opportunity.

We also recommend selling covered call options to enhance the yield.

SYD is expected to release full year traffic numbers in late January 2018.

Sydney Airport

Wesfarmers – Full Value (Sell Call Options)

Wesfarmers (WES) has agreed to sell its Curragh coal mine in Queensland to US miner Coronado Coal Group for $700 million plus a value share agreement.

We suggest the company is likely to reduce borrowings to some degree, as earnings have been reduced, and subject to franking credits may return capital to shareholders.

We believe a reasonable strategy is to sell $45.00 June call options for $1.02 credit and expect to keep exposure to the $1.03 dividend declared on the 20th February.

Wesfarmers

 

 

Buy Amcor & AGL

In an increasingly expensive market, finding low volatility investments at a discount can be difficult.

We consider the recent sell-off in AMC and AGL  represents a low risk entry level for a buy-write strategy.

AMC pays a 25.6 cent dividend on the 24th February and AGL pays  41 cents on the 23rd February.

We are then adding covered call options to enhance the yield and allowing for moderate capital growth.

The strategy is achieving 10 – 12% cash flow on an annualised basis.