Woolworths – Valuation Review

Woolworths Group has been trading sideways in 2020 within the $35 to $40 price range. This provides a trading range for investors to consider or alternatively, selling calls at the upper band to generate extra cash flow.

On a valuation basis, using 10% EPS growth into 2022, it supports a 3% fully franked dividend yield and places the stock on a 34x forward PE ratio.

Coles Group – Finds Buying Support

Coles Group is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is now up 21.88% since being added to the ASX 100 model portfolio back in August last year.

We have since had a further higher low formation at $15 and new buying support is building.

We see limited upside based on the current valuation and investors are advised to apply a covered call strategy to enhance the income return.  For more details on the strategy, please call 1300 614 002.

Woolworths Group was added to the model in August 2018 and is now up 38.29%

Woolworths – Valuation Review

Woolworths Group is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is a current holding in our ASX 100 model portfolio.

The company is conducting a $1.7 billion off-market buyback which is 7 to 8% earnings accretive on an after-tax basis. Australian superannuation funds on a 15% tax rate are set to benefit from the off-market buyback.

Woolworths is trading on 23x FY20 earnings, which partly reflects the value of the off-market share buyback. If we assume the buyback is creating up to $2.00 of added value, fair value post the buyback, is sub $30.

Even at $29 – $30, it places WOW on 21x FY20 earnings and 3.1% dividend yield.

This places the stock at a very high valuation relative to the long-term average.