Woolworths – Algo Update

We’ve been long Woolworths following the recent Algo Engine buy signal.

Through adding a $28 December covered call option we’ve boosted the annualized cashflow to 10 – 12%, which includes capturing the $0.58 September dividend.

WOW reports on the 23rd August. The stock is trading on 20x FY18 earnings and 3.3% forward yield.

FY17 EPS is likely to around $1.50 per share and the market is forecasting underlying EPS growth into FY18 of 8 %, to $1.65 per share.

Chart – WOW

 

 

 

Algo Update – BHP & WOW

Recent Algo Engine buy signals in BHP and WOW continue to perform strongly.

An overnight rally in metal and oil prices will support BHP in today’s trading   and investors may wish to consider selling covered calls into November, at or near the $26 strike price.

Chart – BHP

Woolworths reports earnings on the 23rd August and the market will be looking for underlying EPS growth of 8% to support the 22x earnings multiple.

With WOW now trading on forward yield of 3% and a relatively high multiple, we encourage investors to sell $28 Dec call options to boost the annual cash flow return.

Chart – WOW

 

SYD, TCL And GPT Show Upside On Rate Reversion

Over the last two weeks, yield sensitive names like SYD, TCL and GPT have all dropped over 10% from recent highs.

One of the main drivers has been the change in interest rate expectations from G-7 central bankers and the subsequent rise in short-term paper.

Moving forward, we see more likelihood of G-7 rates reverting lower within the year’s range and providing upside potential in the stocks above.

Other stocks we like on the basis of lower local rates are: AMC, WOW and MPL.

We see reasonable upside potential in the names and will employ the derivative overlay strategy (selling covered calls)  to enhance the portfolios returns.

Transurban

Sydney Airport

General Property Trust

 

Recent Signals – WOW & SOL

Our Algo Engine triggered buy signals in both WOW and SOL; both opportunities are worth further consideration. Buying support is likely to increase at or near the current entry levels.

Reminder: We now have a new tutorial video in the help menu which explains the navigation of the watch-list feature, this includes reviewing the recent algo signals and customising your own watch-list.

If you need more help, please call our dealing/help desk on 1300 614 002

Chart – WOW
Chart – SOL

 

ALGO Buy Signal For Woolworth’s

The ALGO engine triggered a buy signal on WOW at yesterday’s close at $25.10.

This is purely a technical signal.  However, with the dividend yield close to 3.8% with the price at $25.00, it looks like a reasonable defensive stock in an uncertain market.

We’re looking for a price recovery to the $27.00 area to take profits or write covered calls to enhance portfolio returns.

Woolworth’s

 

Defensive Stocks For An Uncertain Market

Recent price action in the local ASX market suggests we’ve entered a period of heightened volatility and potential for downside risk. Since posting the high for-the-year at 5945.00, the index for Australian shares has dropped almost 4%.

Looking across the spectrum of ASX top 100 stocks, we have found several names which can offer defensive value in a broadly sideways to lower share market.

These include: IPL, MPL, WOW, CTX, QBE, SHL, SYD, TCL, AMC, and IAG.

We consider these stocks to have the potential for moderate capital growth and, combined with a buy/write strategy, will offer 10 to 12% cash flow on an annualized basis.

ASX: XJO Index