Crown Resorts & TabCorp

Crown Resorts reported their FY17 earnings on Friday, and the result showed a 13% decline in revenue and 11% fall in EBITDA. Helping to offset this was a further $375m share buyback.

Based on $0.60 of DPS in FY18, Crown trades on a forward yield of 4.8%.

Chart – CWN

TabCorp Holdings reported FY17 earnings on Friday with underlying net profit of $179m, down 4% on the same time last year.  We see encouraging trends within the core wagering business with digital turnover up 14% and fixed odds revenue growth of 15%.

We expect the Tatts merger  to be completed by the end of the year and with the FY18 dividend yield at 6%, we see upside potential to $4.50 – $5.00.

Chart – TAH

 

 

 

ETF Update: Has The Aussie Dollar Topped Out?

The Aussie Dollar posted a high on July 27th against the US Dollar at .8065.

It tested that level again just before the RBA announcement last Tuesday but failed to advance and slipped briefly below .7900 going into the weekend.

Comments in the RBA statement about the strength of the AUD/USD combined with a weaker Trade Balance report on Thursday pressured the pair lower.

A break of the .7875 level will confirm that a formidable top is in place, and will likely spur another cent correction lower to the next support price of .7780.

Investors looking to profit from the AUD/USD trading lower can look to buy the BetaShare ETF with the symbol: YANK.

YANK is an inverse ETF, which means the unit price increases as the price of the AUD/USD decreases. YANK also has a 2.5% weighting, which means a 1% change in the AUD/USD will correspond to a 2.5% move in the unit price.

The current price of YANK is $12.60. We calculate that when the AUD/USD trades back to the January low near .7300, the unit price will trade at $16.75.

BetaShare ETF: YANK

 

Algo Signal Update – GrainCorp

Our Algo Engine has been alerting us to the retracement and “higher low” pattern developing in GrainCorp.

The stock price bounced from oversold conditions in Thursday’s trading, after touching $8.51. Friday displayed strong follow through buying with the price action closing near session highs.

We’ve been looking for a move higher in GNC, it looks like it could be underway, and a rally back to $9.25 – $9.50 is our target.

Apply a stop loss below $8.51.

Chart – GNC

Invocare is another name we’re watching for confirmation on a developing “higher low” pattern. Friday’s closing price was a little weak. We’ll watch this name into next week and keep you updated on our analysis.

 

Chart – IVC